Weekly Economic Indicators

Consumer Confidence June | [TUE] | E 57.0 | P 57.2 | modest

Durable Goods Orders May | [WED] | E 0.0 | P -0.5% | modest

New Home Sales May | [WED] | E 510,000 | P 526,000 | modest

Crude Inventories 6/21 | [WED] | P -1,242,000 | modest

Next Fed Meeting | [WED] | elevated impact

Initial Jobless Claims 6/21 | [THU] | E 375,000 | P 381,000 | modest

Gross Domestic Product Q1 | [THU] | E 1.0% | P 0.9% | modest

GDP Chain Deflator Q1 | [THU] | E 2.6% | P 2.6% | modest

Existing Homes Sales May | [THU] E 4,900,000 | P 4,890,000 | modest

Personal Spending May | [FRI] | E 0.7% | P 0.2% | modest

Personal Consumption Expenditures May | [FRI] | E 0.2% | P 0.1% | elevated impact

Core PCE Year | [FRI] | P 2.1% | elevated impact

Personal Income May | [FRI] | E 0.4% | P 0.2% | modest

Economic Indicators

Producer Price Index May | 1.4% | E 1.0% | P 0.2% | modest

Core PPI May | 0.2% | E 0.2% | P 0.4% | modest

Building Permits May | 969,000 | E 950,000 | P 978,000 | modest

Housing Starts May | 975,000 | E 980,000 | P 1,032,000 | modest

Capacity Utilization May | 79.4 | E 79.7 | P 79.7% | modest

Industrial Production May | -0.2% | E 0.1% | P -0.7% | modest

Economic Indicators

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Consumer Price Index [CPI] May | 0.6% | E 0.5% | P 0.2% | elevated

Core CPI May | 0.2% | E 0.2% | P 0.1% | elevated

Consumer Sentiment Index June | 56.7 | E 57.5 | P 59.8 | modest

Economic Indicators

Retail Sales May | 1%  | E 0.5% | P -0.2% | elevated

Retail Sale Ex-Auto May | 1.2% | E 0.7% | P 0.5% | elevated

Initial Jobless Claims 6/7 | 384,000 | E 371,000 | P 357,000 | modest

Balance of Trade

Balance of Trade April | -$60,900,000,000 | E -$59,500,000,000 | P -$58,200,000,000 | modest

Upcoming Economic Indicators

Balance of Trade April | [TUE10] | E -$59,500,000,000 | P -$58,200,000,000 | modest

Crude Inventories 6/7 | [WED11] | P -4,802,000 | modest

Fed Beige Book | [WED11] | modest

Retail Sales May | [THU12] | E 0.6% | P -0.2% | elevated

Retail Sale Ex-Auto May | [THU12] | E 0.7% | P 0.5% | elevated

Initial Jobless Claims 6/7 | [THU12] | E 371,000 | P 357,000 | modest

Consumer Price Index [CPI] May | [FRI13] | E 0.5% | P 0.2% | elevated

Core CPI May | [FRI13] | E 0.2% | P 0.1% | elevated

Consumer Sentiment Index June | [FRI13] | E 57.5 | P 59.8 | modest

Economic Indicators June 06

Non-Farm Payrolls May | -49,000 | E -60,000 | P -20.000 | Elevated

Unemployment Rate May | 5.5% | E 5.1% | P 5.0% | Elevated

Average Work Week May | ? | E 33.7 | P 33.7 | Elevated

Hourly Earnings May | 0.3% | E 0.2% | P 0.1% | Elevated

Economic Indicators June 05

Initial Jobless Claims 5/31 | 357,000 | E 370,000 | P 372,000 | Modest

Initial Jobless Claims report better than expected.  There were only 357,000 first time filers for state unemployment reported from May 31.  Mortgage Backed securities currently are trading -35bp on the day @ 98.84.

Economic Indicators June 04

ADP Employment Report May | 40,000 | E -30,000 | P 10,000 | Elevated

Productivity Q1 | 2.6% | E 2.5% | P 2.2% | Modest

ISM Non-Manufacturing May | 51.7% | E 51.0 | P 52.0 | Modest

Crude Inventories 5/31 | [WED] | P -8,883,000 | Modest

Economic Indicators June 02

ISM Non-Manufacturing Index May | 49.6 | E 48.0 | P 48.6 | Elevated

The Institute for Supply Management’s Non-Manufacturing [ISM Service Index] comes in at 49.6 beating estimates of 48.0.  The survey reporting below 50 still signifies contraction as opposed to growth, but since the report is not as bad as it could have been mortgage bonds may lose some more ground today.

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